Federal Express Entry Draws
Track federal Express Entry draws, CRS scores, and Invitations to Apply (ITAs)
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Program Statistics
Overview of Express Entry statistics for 2026
Canadian Experience Class draws only
Total draws conducted this year
Most recent draw date
CRS Score Trend
Monthly Invitations to Apply (ITAs)
Draw Distribution by Program
CRS Score Distribution by Program
Invitations to Apply (ITAs) per Category
Summary of ITAs issued across different Express Entry categories for the selected period
| Category | Total ITAs | # of Draws | Avg CRS Score | Latest Draw | Latest Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Canadian Experience Class
|
14,000
|
2 | 510 | Jan 21, 2026 | 509 |
|
Provincial Nominee Program
|
1,678
|
3 | 735 | Feb 3, 2026 | 749 |
CRS Score Pool Distribution as of Feb 2, 2026
Total Candidates: 238,920
Historical Pool Distribution Trends
Track how candidate distribution has evolved across different score ranges over time
Data Points
110
Earliest Record
Jan 17, 2022
Latest Record
Feb 2, 2026
Latest Express Entry Draws
Last updated: Today| Draw # | Date | Program | ITAs | CRS Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 393 | Today | Provincial Nominee Program | 423 | 749 |
| 392 | Jan 21, 2026 | Canadian Experience Class | 6,000 | 509 |
| 391 | Jan 20, 2026 | Provincial Nominee Program | 681 | 746 |
| 390 | Jan 7, 2026 | Canadian Experience Class | 8,000 | 511 |
| 389 | Jan 5, 2026 | Provincial Nominee Program | 574 | 711 |
Next Draw Type Prediction
How Draw Type Prediction Works
Our draw type prediction analyzes historical patterns to predict which type of Express Entry draw is most likely next:
- Sequential Patterns: What draw type typically follows another (e.g., PNP → CEC)
- Temporal Patterns: How often each draw type occurs (e.g., Healthcare every 4 weeks)
- Cyclic Patterns: Repeating sequences of draws
- Overdue Detection: Identifies when a draw type is "overdue" based on historical frequency
Note: This is a pattern-based prediction and not guaranteed. IRCC determines draw schedules independently.
Latest Draw
PNP
Today
Most Likely Next
Canadian Experience Class
EXPECTED AROUND
Tomorrow
Last: 13 days ago
Why this prediction?
- Historically, PNP is followed by CEC 25.4% of the time (occurred 15 times)
- CEC expected around 2026-02-04 based on 14-day average interval
- Matches repeating cycle: PNP→CEC (occurred 14 times)
- Matches repeating cycle: CEC→PNP→CEC (occurred 2 times)
- Matches repeating cycle: PNP→CEC→PNP→CEC (occurred 2 times)
Draw Score Prediction (Canadian Experience Class Only)
How Our Prediction Works
Our Express Entry CRS score prediction uses a sophisticated algorithm that considers multiple factors:
- Historical Data Analysis: We analyze patterns from past draws to identify trends.
- Pool Distribution: Current candidate distribution in the Express Entry pool.
- Seasonal Adjustments: Different times of year can affect CRS scores.
- Error Pattern Correction: We learn from previous prediction errors to improve accuracy.
- Volatility Analysis: Recent score fluctuations are factored into our confidence intervals.
Accuracy Levels:
Predicted CRS Score
Most likely minimum score for next Canadian Experience Class draw
Expected Draw Details
Prediction Adjustments
What are these adjustments? Our prediction algorithm applies these adjustments to improve accuracy:
- Seasonal Factor: Adjusts for time-of-year patterns in CRS scores
- Historical Accuracy: Corrects for systematic bias in our previous predictions
- Error Pattern: Adjusts based on patterns in prediction errors for similar score ranges
Estimated Pool Distribution (500-600 CRS Range)
Notice
This is our estimation for the detailed breakdown of candidates in the 500-600 CRS score range. IRCC only provides the total count for this range, not the detailed distribution by individual scores.
Our algorithm estimates this distribution based on historical patterns, statistical modeling, and score trends. The actual distribution could be very different from our estimation.
Estimated Distribution by CRS Score (500-600 Range)
Prediction generated: Feb 3, 2026, 12:01 PM
Prediction Accuracy
Consecutive Draw Simulator
Forecast CRS scores across multiple consecutive draws
Disclaimer: This prediction is based on historical CEC draw patterns and current Express Entry pool data. Immigration policies may change without notice, and actual scores may vary. Our system is optimized for CEC draws only (not PNP, French language, etc.) and is continuously improving as it learns from new data. Recent policy changes and irregular patterns may temporarily affect prediction accuracy.
Last updated: Feb 3, 2026, 12:01 PM
Consecutive Draw Simulator
Forecast score trajectories for multiple CEC draws
Simulation Parameters
Between 1-10 draws
Between 200-10,000 invitations
Between 7-60 days interval
Specify the number of invitations for each draw. Leave the default value to use the same size for all draws.
Simulation Error
Score Trajectory
Draw-by-Draw Breakdown
| Draw | Date | ITAs | Predicted Score | Likely Range | Monthly Adj. |
|---|
Ready to Simulate
Adjust the parameters above and click "Run Simulation" to see how CRS scores might evolve across consecutive draws.
How the Simulator Works
The Consecutive Draw Simulator helps you forecast CRS score trajectories when IRCC conducts multiple CEC draws in succession.
What it does:
- Simulates how the pool depletes after each draw
- Accounts for pool growth between draws
- Considers monthly score jumps (work experience milestones)
- Predicts CRS cutoff for each draw in the series
This is a simulation tool for planning purposes. Results are estimates based on current pool data and may vary from actual outcomes.
Data Sources
Express Entry Rounds of Invitation: canada.ca/express-entry-rounds (opens in new tab)
Data is automatically collected and updated from official Government of Canada sources.
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